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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpomnibus-076daaUpTheBluesWewuzzy
Record (consensus markets)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)50% (15393–15458, n=30851)50% (20538–20353, n=40891)45% (9–11, n=20)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.1M$3.2M$2.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #59PM monthly #7PM monthly #490
Sides with the consensus74% (143 of 192 open)55% (71 of 129 open)67% (41 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Elections −2 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%32% of 19 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 874)7% (won 99% of 2623)47% (won 11% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2384)21% (won 100% of 7839)11% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 95% of 4296)22% (won 100% of 8452)21% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 99% of 3716)51% (won 100% of 19323)21% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

50 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpomnibus-076daaUpTheBluesWewuzzy
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6KYes $16No $1.1K—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $103Under $115Over $54—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $125Yes $38Yes $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14KUnder $1.6KUnder $22K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Under $5.2K—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5KUnder $2.2K——
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $77Yes $3.2K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $519Arthur Fils $1.9K——
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $757—
Cairns Taipans vs. Illawarra Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Illawarra Hawks
Illawarra Hawks $1.3KCairns Taipans $86——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $422—Under $768—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $641Yes $424——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861Tommy Paul $23——
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $442Yes $363——
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $514Under $207——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $548—Yes $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Athletic Club $345—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $64—
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split $214Lincoln Red Imps FC $274——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $91Yes $360——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $116—No $289—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $199Over $164——
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $292Yes $70——
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $264Yes $89——
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $329Over $6——
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $287Yes $9——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280—Yes $6—
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $176Yes $49——
Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $188No $5——
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $134Yes $2——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $109—Yes $2—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $99——
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52Under $43——
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $72Over $10—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Thunder
Sydney Thunder $32Perth Scorchers $28——
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $5BetBoom Team $26——
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
opposite sides · consensus BakS eSports
BakS eSports $5Honvéd $12——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $3.1K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2KNo $9.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K—No $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K—No $2.7K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.2KNo $175——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38Yes $3.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Under $2.6K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.2KYes $3——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.4KYes $216——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $1.5K—