Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677lastminwinRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)54% (14–12, n=26)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$280K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #95PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (113 of 160 open)no open consensus position72% (41 of 57 open)55% (53 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)33% (won 20% of 5)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)20% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)27% (won 100% of 4)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677lastminwinRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $7.8K——Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $141——No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K——FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $886——Yes $254
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Calvin Hemery $973——Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $875——Under $27
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $376——Over $169
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $320——Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $78——Over $340
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
76ers $173——Bulls $106
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $74K——No $24K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $32K——No $17K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $23K——No $3.9K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $16K——No $3.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $13K——Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13K——CD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11K——Yes $5.1K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $12K——Club Atlético de Madrid $139
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $9.7K——No $1.1K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.0K——Over $5.0K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
Stefan Kozlov $6.5K——Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K——No $5.8K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $214——No $9.1K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $8.4K——FC Barcelona $11
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $3.6K——FC Barcelona $3.2K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.1K——No $709
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $219——No $4.5K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2K——Under $468
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $820——No $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $1.6K——Bulls $62
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
76ers $764——76ers $848
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $129
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $110——Under $716
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
76ers $587——76ers $155
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $344——Bulls $42
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $306——No $13
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $80——Over $208