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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2399–968, n=3367) | 54% (451–385, n=836) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 54% (19–16, n=35) |
| Consensus PnL | $416K | $355K | $318K | $2.4K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #137 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (95 of 192 open) | 63% (151 of 239 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | MegaMan-.- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $25 | Gen.G $45K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $11K | Cavaliers $5.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $306 | Nets $14K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $310 | Under $8.1K | — | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $9 | Georgia Southern $3.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $1.4K | Nets $1.2K | — | — |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $165 | Under $1.3K | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $637 | South Carolina $258 | — | — |
| West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $98 | Under $426 | — | — |
| LSU Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | Gonzaga Bulldogs $507 | LSU Tigers $2 | — | — |
| Longwood Lancers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 136.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $46 | Over $358 | — | — |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings | San Francisco Dons $33 | Portland State Vikings $344 | — | — |
| Spread: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus UNC Asheville Bulldogs | UNC Asheville Bulldogs $325 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets $7 | — | — |
| Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers | Saint Joseph's Hawks $90 | Penn Quakers $151 | — | — |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $226 | Providence Friars $3 | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $106 | Under $65 | — | — |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | San Francisco Dons $43 | Portland State Vikings $44 | — | — |
| Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Wake Forest Demon Deacons $69 | Southern Utah Thunderbirds $3 | — | — |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | Gonzaga Bulldogs $30 | LSU Tigers $3 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | Nets $10 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $6.4K | Pelicans $19K | — | — |
| Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5) same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $6.0K | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $1.8K | — | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $3 | Kansas $7.2K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $127 | Cavaliers $3.5K | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $1.1K | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $174 | Falcons $1.2K | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | — |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $38 | Under $632 | — | — |
| Spread: East Carolina Pirates (-15.5) same side · consensus East Carolina Pirates | East Carolina Pirates $65 | East Carolina Pirates $564 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $22 | Under $237 | — | — |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks same side · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $112 | Blackhawks $83 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $54 | Under $100 | — | — |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 152.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $46 | Over $71 | — | — |
| LSU Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 161.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $72 | Over $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas | Northern Kentucky Norse $4 | Northern Kentucky Norse $6 | — | — |