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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ExoticApple12 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1211–1237, n=2448) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $177K | $4.1M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #398 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 70% (117 of 166 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (71 of 126 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1175 at avg 52¢, ROI +44% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 93% of 40) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 98% of 403) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 55% (won 98% of 647) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 85) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ExoticApple12 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $320 | — | Rams $24K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | Racing Club de Lens $7.4K | — | Olympique de Marseille $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $141 | — | No $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K | — | FC Barcelona $113 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.6K | — | Under $420 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $883 | — | Yes $254 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | Calvin Hemery $973 | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $866 | — | Under $28 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $371 | — | Over $185 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $320 | — | Yes $99 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $78 | — | Over $340 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $167 | — | Bulls $106 |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $8 | — | Over $9 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $33K | — | No $27K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $29K | — | No $16K |
| Broncos vs. Panthers same side · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $1.4K | — | Broncos $38K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $13K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $13K | — | CD Cobresal $3.5K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | — | Yes $5.1K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $10K | — | No $3.9K |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.0K | — | Over $5.0K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $9.7K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $137 |
| Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo same side · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | Stefan Kozlov $6.5K | — | Stefan Kozlov $3.2K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.8K | — | No $833 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | No $5.8K |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.8K | — | No $1.9K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.0K | — | No $536 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus FC Barcelona | — | FC Barcelona $7.9K | — | FC Barcelona $11 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | No $214 | — | No $7.6K |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) same side · consensus FC Barcelona | — | FC Barcelona $3.6K | — | FC Barcelona $3.2K |
| Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.0K | — | No $657 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | No $214 | — | No $4.4K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $2.2K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | — | Under $468 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | No $820 | — | No $1.6K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls same side · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $1.7K | — | Bulls $80 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $764 | — | 76ers $493 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $10 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | — | Boluspor $44 |