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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DegenKingBetterFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (89–60, n=149)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$118K$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #236PM monthly #16PM monthly #108PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)76% (91 of 119 open)73% (73 of 100 open)57% (35 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +24 pts n=33, ROI +17%
  • MLB +14 pts n=67, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won68% of 132 at avg 54¢, ROI +13%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 0% of 7)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 67% of 27)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢71% (won 72% of 94)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 4)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDegenKingBetterFlaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.2K—Yes $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4K—Over $136
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Penguins $14—Ducks $1.5K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $500—Bucks $199
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $449—Over $11
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $14K—Celtics $33K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $612
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.7K—Yes $2.4K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.7K—Over $1.0K
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $76
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $2.4K—Celtics $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.3K—Bucks $112
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $1.9K—Celtics $1.5K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3K—Over $797
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
same side · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers
—Pittsburgh Panthers $1.4K—Pittsburgh Panthers $1.4K
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $625
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $306—Celtics $1.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $757—Mavericks $576
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $26