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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CharityStripeFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (326–337, n=663)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL-$68K$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #9PM monthly #111PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)72% (119 of 166 open)71% (70 of 98 open)56% (55 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +39 pts n=80, ROI +41%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=57, ROI +26%
  • NBA +31 pts n=105, ROI +20%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won85% of 354 at avg 53¢, ROI +27%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 38% of 8)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 76% of 104)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢61% (won 90% of 217)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 92% of 25)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCharityStripeFlaznorpndb1RN1
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25K—Yes $15K
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $23K—Yes $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Patriots $5.1K——Packers $3.6K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $8.3K—Olympique de Marseille $2
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—No $544
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $4.1K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6K—Yes $2.9K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.5K—Over $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.3K—Yes $14
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141—No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—Club Atlético de Madrid $935—FC Barcelona $88
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $904—Under $37
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $280—Over $161
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $51
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $17—Bulls $3
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $127K—No $39K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $49K—No $24K
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $31K—No $15K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $37K—No $3.5K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $32K—No $5.0K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $12K—Linda Noskova $10K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.0K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.4K—No $3.8K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12K—Club Atlético de Madrid $138
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.0K—Over $3.1K
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $6.0K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $9.2K—FC Barcelona $53
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Texans $6.0K——Texans $1.5K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.6K—FC Barcelona $3.2K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.1K—Under $3.1K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $591—No $4.6K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Under $468
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820—No $1.6K
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $698—No $1.3K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Over $402
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $1.0K—76ers $903
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $521—Under $1.1K
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Samir Banerjee $1.4K—Samir Banerjee $188
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $944—No $192