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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 73% (202–76, n=278) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | $1.8K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 59% (118 of 199 open) | 62% (79 of 127 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=90 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 39% of 175 at avg 39¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 49% (won 7% of 85) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 15% (won 37% of 27) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 15% (won 70% of 27) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $23K | Trail Blazers $9 | Thunder $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $676 | Thunder $110 | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $3.3K | Lakers $25 | Lakers $20K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $2 | Rockets $31K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $364 | Over $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Nets $13 | Pelicans $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Lakers $25 | Bucks $984 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2 | Under $787 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Jazz $13 | Magic $391 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Jazz $2 | Magic $212 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $24 | Under $53 | — |
| Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | — | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $10 | IU Indy Jaguars $3 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $7 | Rockets $20K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $352 | Magic $12K | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $41 | Under $7.3K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $160 | Over $7.0K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $32 | Vikings $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) same side · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $44 | Vikings $5.6K | — |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | — | Flyers $6 | Flyers $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $1 | Bucks $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Magic $31 | Magic $4.0K | — |
| Penguins vs. Sharks same side · consensus Penguins | — | Sharks $64 | Sharks $2.9K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $17 | Over $2.7K | — |
| Penguins vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $33 | Over $1.9K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $12 | Over $1.6K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $15 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $15 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | — | Senators $76 | Senators $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | — | Boise State Broncos $41 | Boise State Broncos $1.3K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $56 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) same side · consensus Kraken | — | Kraken $37 | Kraken $862 | — |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 157.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3 | Under $689 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $1 | Bucks $493 | — |
| Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5) same side · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders | — | Furman Paladins $33 | Furman Paladins $452 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $24 | Nets $100 | — |
| Spread: Oregon Ducks (-36.5) same side · consensus Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | — | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils $10 | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils $109 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $1 | Bucks $66 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $33 | Under $30 | — |