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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | plsgodsaveme | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 52% (594–553, n=1147) | 47% (705–782, n=1487) | 33% (2–4, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $398K | $825K | -$1.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #15 | was PM monthly #684 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 70% (72 of 103 open) | 61% (54 of 88 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | plsgodsaveme |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.4M | 49ers $25K | 49ers $183K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Clippers $37K | Hornets $6.1K | Hornets $17K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $4.4K | Suns $2.0K | Lakers $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Clippers $1.1K | Hornets $5.7K | Clippers $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $234 | Suns $4.1K | Suns $6.0K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $136K | 49ers $10K | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Stars $490 | Panthers $25K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $9.3K | Jazz $9.9K | — |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $8.7K | Over $8.0K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | Over $3.9K | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Hornets $2.4K | Clippers $10K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Rockets $273 | Wizards $8.0K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | Under $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Rams $1.6K | Cardinals $302 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $1.1K | — | Cardinals $495 | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $861 | Under $577 | — |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | — | Marquette Golden Eagles $57 | Missouri Tigers $1.1K | — |
| High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers | — | High Point Panthers $309 | Saint Louis Billikens $543 | — |
| Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns opposite sides · consensus Texas Longhorns | — | Baylor Bears $2 | Texas Longhorns $4 | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $20K | Seahawks $43K | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $18K | Spurs $36K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $40K | — | Cowboys $3.3K | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks same side · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Oregon Ducks $19K | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.2K | Under $4.7K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2.8K | Under $6.6K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.3K | Under $841 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-10.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $53 | Thunder $4.1K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $3.0K | Over $652 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $532 | Hawks $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-4.5) same side · consensus Creighton Bluejays | — | Creighton Bluejays $344 | Creighton Bluejays $1.9K | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $716 | Under $132 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $6 | Cardinals $677 | — |
| Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5) same side · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | — | Marquette Golden Eagles $4 | Marquette Golden Eagles $162 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | Cardinals $5 | Cardinals $36 | — |