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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6450–5961, n=12411) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 53% (2442–2137, n=4579) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $5.3M | $20K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 74% (145 of 195 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (41 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 2% (won 95% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 32% (won 98% of 321) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 51% (won 98% of 507) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 14% (won 98% of 138) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez | — | Zeynep Sonmez $17K | — | Mika Stojsavljevic $10 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.6K | — | No $307 |
| Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Shanghai Shenhua FC | — | Shanghai Shenhua FC $757 | — | Machida Zelvia $972 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $280 | — | Yes $173 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $399 | — | Yes $9 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $323 | — | Over $8 |
| Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $188 | — | No $10 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $194 | — | Under $2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $183 | — | Under $10 |
| Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $93 | — | Yes $77 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | SD Eibar $6 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $103 | — | Over $2 |
| Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $97 | — | No $8 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $74 | — | Under $16 |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $68 | — | Under $14 |
| SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $49 | — | Under $9 |
| Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte | — | Justina Mikulskyte $2 | — | Tiphanie Lemaitre $10 |
| Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $7 | — | Under $3 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | — | No $21 |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $983 | — | No $989 |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Over $9 |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | No $11 |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $893 | — | No $80 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $875 | — | No $10 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | Quentin Halys $861 | — | Quentin Halys $10 |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sydney FC | — | Sydney FC $696 | — | Sydney FC $10 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $514 | — | Over $10 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $448 | — | No $15 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $442 | — | No $9 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | Lorenzo Musetti $435 | — | Lorenzo Musetti $10 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $365 | — | No $9 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $301 | — | No $7 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea | — | Sorana Cirstea $275 | — | Sorana Cirstea $10 |
| Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $264 | — | No $7 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $199 | — | Under $7 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $130 | — | No $1 |
| Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $77 | — | No $5 |
| Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $49 | — | Over $5 |
| Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | No $9 |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9 | — | Under $7 |