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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Lula20262026 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 33% (1–2, n=3) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | -$52K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #36 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (28 of 32 open) | 74% (201 of 273 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (79 of 141 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 1 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 0% | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Lula20262026 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $27K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $24K | — | Yes $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.2K | — | Over $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.4K | — | Under $305 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.2K | — | Under $19 |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $981 | — | Yes $4.2K |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.6K | — | Yes $362 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC | — | Newcastle United FC $2.5K | — | Fulham FC $48 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $963 | — | Over $1.2K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $368 | — | Under $1.7K |
| Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $67 | — | Over $1.8K |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $57 | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino | — | Adrian Mannarino $1.8K | — | Jan Simonsson $7 |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $396 | — | Over $979 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $910 |
| Manchester City FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $45 | — | No $797 |
| Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Fulham FC | — | Fulham FC $776 | — | Newcastle United FC $2 |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $55 | — | Yes $547 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $15 | — | Under $282 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $151 | — | Yes $38 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $83 | — | Under $88 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $140 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $136 | — | Under $6 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $115 | — | Under $11 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | Yes $50 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $8 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $190K | — | Yes $27K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $90K | — | Yes $27K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $109K | — | Over $4.7K |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $53K | — | No $4.4K |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Hull City AFC | — | Hull City AFC $50K | — | Hull City AFC $816 |
| Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri | — | Federico Coria $1.3K | — | Federico Coria $41K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | — | Carlos Alcaraz $23K | — | Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $24K | — | No $6.1K |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | — | No $9.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.6K |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $13K | — | Yes $2.9K |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $5.5K | — | No $8.7K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.5K |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $9.2K |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.2K | — | No $4.3K |