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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$0$35K$0-$53K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)67% (164 of 243 open)74% (67 of 90 open)51% (42 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=31NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won64% of 3120 at avg 46¢, ROI +6%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 26% of 1357)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 81% of 317)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 92% of 393)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 97% of 1053)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.3K—Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Under $984
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $445—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $836—Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $162—Cavaliers $726
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689—Rockets $119
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $93—Rockets $669
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Warriors $481—Pelicans $128
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $316—Under $108
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $41—Raptors $126
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.6K—Clement Tabur $25K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.2K—Under $13K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.6K—No $39
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.5K—Rockets $1.5K
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $683—Under $2.6K
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Maximo Zeitune $68—Maximo Zeitune $2.8K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $328—Rockets $2.5K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $142—Rockets $2.3K
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1K—Over $1.0K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $94—Under $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $680—Suns $245
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $580—No $230
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364—Lakers $416
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333—Lakers $441
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $315
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $25—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $424
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $178—Pistons $243
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $211—Under $186
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $84—Under $234
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $174—Cavaliers $115
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162—Raptors $116
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $253—Rockets $13
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Spurs $203—Spurs $38
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41