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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)48% (513–552, n=1065)85% (22–4, n=26)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$546K$318K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)45% (144 of 321 open)68% (101 of 149 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)6% (won 100% of 19)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)37% (won 100% of 126)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)50% (won 100% of 171)22% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $45Mavericks $31K—
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $149Under $30K—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Miami (FL) $12K—
Florida International vs. Delaware
opposite sides · consensus Delaware
—Florida International $20Delaware $12K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $158Nets $11K—
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $10K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.5KDenmark $8.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.8KUnder $3.7K—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7KUnder $3.9K—
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $257Over $3.5K—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $73Bradley Braves $2.2K—
Knoxville: Clement Chidekh vs Michael Zheng
opposite sides · consensus Clement Chidekh
—Michael Zheng $1.1KClement Chidekh $723—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $127Mavericks $1.4K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $460Kentucky $940—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $4Central Michigan Chippewas $1.3K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $93Penn Quakers $863—
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $15Hurricanes $741—
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—George Mason Patriots $696Bradley Braves $2—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $96Over $404—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $64George Mason Patriots $318—
Will Algeria vs. Togo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $167No $44—
Will Togo win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $157No $43—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Max Alcala Gurri
opposite sides · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Franco Roncadelli $64Max Alcala Gurri $18—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $25Over $18—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Hurricanes $40K—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $3Kansas $27K—
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $13KUnder $11K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.9KUnder $291—
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $79Northwestern $3.4K—
Will South Sudan win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $148—
Will Angola win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.1KYes $58—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $314Over $125—
Hamburg Towers vs. Wuerzburg
same side · consensus Wuerzburg
—Wuerzburg $364Wuerzburg $6—
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Colorado State Rams
same side · consensus Loyola Chicago Ramblers
—Loyola Chicago Ramblers $197Loyola Chicago Ramblers $27—
Algeria vs. Togo: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $155Under $39—
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $9Kraken $43—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
—Cincinnati $7Cincinnati $37—