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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)89% (115–14, n=129)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$104K$8.4M$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #321PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)89% (33 of 37 open)64% (144 of 224 open)58% (40 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won83% of 102 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 33% of 21)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 75% of 4)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 6)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up70% (won 97% of 71)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—No $1.1K—
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $19K—No $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $12KOver $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
——Tom Gentzsch $5.2KMax Houkes $648
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.0K—No $39—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $872Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Woking FC $118—Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $324
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.0KUnder $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $169Cavaliers $708
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $709Over $15
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $421Over $241
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $619Yes $7
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $412Under $56
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Nuggets $25Rockets $146
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Grizzlies $39Raptors $126
Knoxville: Daniel Milavsky vs Kenta Miyoshi
opposite sides · consensus Kenta Miyoshi
——Daniel Milavsky $34Kenta Miyoshi $1
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
——Clement Tabur $2.5KClement Tabur $27K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.4K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $16KBills $77—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
——Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KUnder $4.3K
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $671Under $2.6K
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.8KNo $45
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $556Lakers $495
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
——No $265No $667
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $333Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $364Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
——No $136No $428
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $504No $34
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Pistons $186Pistons $243
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $31Under $266
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $290No $2
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $115
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $162Raptors $116