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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2823–1176, n=3999)47% (670–741, n=1411)
Consensus PnL$0$529K$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #8PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (119 of 229 open)63% (45 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204—
Settled positions, side won—41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 531)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 38% of 315)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 61% of 150)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 94% of 320)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Packers $15K
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $7
Helsinki: Luka Mikrut vs Iiro Vasa
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
—Luka Mikrut $803Iiro Vasa $653
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2KOver $297
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Iberian Soul
—Iberian Soul $16Omega $787
Will CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $119No $95
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
opposite sides · consensus Gladiators Trier
—Fraport Skyliners $134Gladiators Trier $28
Orleans (Doubles): Liutarevich/Pieczonka vs Paul/Vocel
opposite sides · consensus Paul/Vocel
—Liutarevich/Pieczonka $29Paul/Vocel $124
Will Cyprus vs. Montenegro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $76No $63
Montevideo: Bruno (2002) Oliveira vs Maximo Zeitune
opposite sides · consensus Maximo Zeitune
—Maximo Zeitune $24Bruno (2002) Oliveira $66
Will Paris 13 Atletico vs. Red Star FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $21Yes $21
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165Falcons $15K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $367
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $48976ers $2.7K
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $392Otto Virtanen $886
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
—Vadym Ursu $977Vadym Ursu $37
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $205Suns $809
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $9Under $972
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $583Under $303
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $159Mavericks $533
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $630Yes $32
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $534No $8
Will Paris 13 Atletico win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $422No $102
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $423Yes $3
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus France
—France $149France $209
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $126Yes $92
Will Latvia vs. Armenia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $86Yes $1
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE Bulls
same side · consensus UAE Bulls
—UAE Bulls $9UAE Bulls $43
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Royal Desert Champions
—Royal Desert Champions $3Royal Desert Champions $23
Montevideo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Santiago De la Fuente
same side · consensus Felipe Meligeni Alves
—Santiago De la Fuente $1Santiago De la Fuente $14