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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Bloodmaster2Flaznorpnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)62% (13–8, n=21)71% (2547–1041, n=3588)54% (441–371, n=812)
Consensus PnL$856K-$76K$493K$325K
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #707PM monthly #12PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position42% (70 of 165 open)56% (104 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢0%0%40% (won 5% of 409)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)0%22% (won 41% of 222)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 80% of 5)11% (won 64% of 115)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up0%69% (won 82% of 11)27% (won 94% of 271)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Bloodmaster2Flaznorpnigiri99
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $6.3KGrizzlies $50K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $357Nets $15K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $1.7KNets $11K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $6.2KNuggets $378
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $90Under $3.1K
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $1.9KNuggets $105
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $1.8KMavericks $143
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $16Under $1.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $489Gen.G $394
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $260Oklahoma $507
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $223Under $483
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $94Timberwolves $551
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $3Nets $579
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
——Providence Friars $405Colorado Buffaloes $159
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $293Nuggets $252
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $178Nets $219
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $163Nuggets $10
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Canadiens
Avalanche $171K——Avalanche $6.8K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $1.3KNets $14K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Pistons
——Heat $431Heat $9.8K
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Kentucky
——Florida $2.0KFlorida $4.6K
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
same side · consensus UAB Blazers
——UAB Blazers $106UAB Blazers $1.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $111Bulls $844
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
——Baylor $307Baylor $394
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
——Arkansas $637Arkansas $12
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
——Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $177
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $398Under $6
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $91Under $66
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
——1win $101win $104
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $3