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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)32% (12–26, n=38)49% (33–34, n=67)50% (65–65, n=130)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$22K$35K-$53K$1.7K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)69% (169 of 246 open)53% (44 of 83 open)79% (77 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1Robbb
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12KOver $1.8K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.6KHornets $162Cavaliers $726—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.1KUnder $3——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.3KYes $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $147Yes $2.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $445Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $22—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $836Yes $60—
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689Rockets $119—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $93Rockets $669—
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Warriors $481Pelicans $128—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $316Under $108—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $41Raptors $126—
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.6KClement Tabur $25K—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $13K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9KNo $39—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.7KOver $86——
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.4KRockets $1.5K—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $683Under $2.7K—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $605Rockets $2.5K—
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Maximo Zeitune $68Maximo Zeitune $2.8K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $142Rockets $2.4K—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $1.0K—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $158—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $94Under $1.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $680Suns $245—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $580No $230—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364Lakers $416—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333Lakers $441—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $315—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $25Geoffrey Blancaneaux $424—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $178Pistons $243—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $212Under $186—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $174Cavaliers $115—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162Raptors $116—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $259Rockets $13—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—