← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MurkSniper | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (424–365, n=789) | 48% (483–517, n=1000) | 72% (31–12, n=43) | 55% (372–304, n=676) |
| Consensus PnL | $376K | $455K | $6.2K | $436K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #988 | PM monthly #89 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (79 of 115 open) | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 51% (37 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | — | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | — | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | — | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | — | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | — | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MurkSniper | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $46 | Hurricanes $33K | — | Kraken $57 |
| Houston vs. Colorado opposite sides · consensus Colorado | Colorado $257 | Houston $5.7K | — | Colorado $2.5K |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $3.5K | Colorado $871 | — | Houston $3.0K |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | Over $3.4K | — | Under $202 |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $938 | Colorado $3.6K | — | Houston $547 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | — | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | — | — | James Madison $1.3K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $2.4K | — | — | Mavericks $89 |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.5K | — | — | Vanderbilt $983 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | — | — | USC $2 |
| Spread: Houston (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $786 | Houston $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $393 | — | — | Auburn $373 |
| Brisbane 3: Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo opposite sides · consensus Christian Langmo | — | — | Juncheng Shang $592 | Christian Langmo $40 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $62 | — | — | Vanderbilt $13 |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | — | — | Indiana $911 |
| Spread: Houston (-9.5) same side · consensus Colorado | — | Houston $31 | — | Houston $4.4K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.3K | — | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.2K | — | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | — | Vanderbilt $542 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | — | Under $5 |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | — | Heat $46 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | — | Colts $3 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | — | — | Over $861 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | South Carolina $265 | — | — | South Carolina $546 |
| Spread: Houston (-8.5) same side · consensus Houston | Houston $483 | — | — | Houston $164 |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | BYU $291 | — | — | BYU $348 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | Texas A&M $23 | — | — | Texas A&M $524 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $445 | — | — | Pelicans $93 |