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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HomeRunHazard | LlamaLoco0000 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (527–481, n=1008) | no settled market | 53% (472–417, n=889) |
| Consensus PnL | $370K | — | $399K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (55 of 89 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 41% (33 of 81 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 5) | — | 12% (won 40% of 83) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 84) | — | 23% (won 65% of 158) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 161) | — | 44% (won 77% of 300) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 20) | — | 20% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | LlamaLoco0000 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $1.6K | — | Pepperdine Waves $34K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Arizona $2.3K | — | Utah $14K |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | Over $6.9K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | — | Arkansas $2.5K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.4K | — | Under $365 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | — | Over $201 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | UTEP $1.9K | — | Wyoming $679 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $531 | — | Stanford $877 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | — | Under $712 |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $219 | — | Texas $584 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277 | — | Montana Grizzlies $210 |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Chiefs $2.6K | — | Chiefs $11K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | — | Patriots $6.1K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $11K | — | Over $614 |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Flames $3.6K | — | Flames $6.8K |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $139 | — | Over $10K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.1K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $2.8K | — | Texas Tech $5.0K |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) same side · consensus Texas | Texas $3.6K | — | Texas $145 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.4K | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks same side · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | — | Ducks $1.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.8K | — | Texas $134 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $331 | — | Rockets $76 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | North Dakota State $131 | — | North Dakota State $147 |
| Spread: Utah State (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah State | Utah State $17 | — | Utah State $206 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | North Dakota State $9 | — | North Dakota State $171 |