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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (560–514, n=1074) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 84% (26–5, n=31) | 53% (498–446, n=944) |
| Consensus PnL | $410K | $18K | $341K | $664K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (51 of 79 open) | 0% (0 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 36% (27 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 5) | — | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 40% of 83) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 84) | — | 10% (won 100% of 3) | 23% (won 65% of 158) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 161) | — | 21% (won 83% of 6) | 44% (won 77% of 300) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 20) | — | 66% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $11K | — | — | Pepperdine Waves $52K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Arizona $3.0K | — | — | Utah $15K |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | — | Over $5.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.1K | — | — | Over $183 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.8K | — | — | Under $426 |
| Spread: Washington State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Washington State | Washington State $2.5K | — | — | Colorado State $74 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | UTEP $1.9K | — | — | Wyoming $679 |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $258 | — | — | Texas $309 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Chiefs $2.5K | — | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Flames $3.6K | — | — | Flames $10K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | — | Over $677 |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | — | — | Patriots $6.1K |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $138 | — | — | Over $11K |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.4K | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | — | — | Under $5.0K |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.0K | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) same side · consensus Texas | Texas $4.7K | — | — | Texas $188 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.4K | — | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks same side · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.2K | — | — | Ducks $578 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | — | Colts $3 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $332 | — | — | Rockets $75 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | North Dakota State $125 | — | — | North Dakota State $147 |
| Spread: Utah State (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah State | Utah State $17 | — | — | Utah State $218 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | North Dakota State $9 | — | — | North Dakota State $157 |