Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpretordedgremlin125RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)no settled market
Consensus PnL$35K—-$53K—
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #521PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus67% (164 of 243 open)no open consensus position51% (42 of 82 open)69% (45 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%96% of 107 at avg 73¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)7% (won 71% of 7)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)32% (won 100% of 34)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)62% (won 97% of 66)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpretordedgremlin125RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $445—Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $836—Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $45—Over $29Under $12
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $94—Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41Under $801
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.3K—Yes $2—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.7K—Under $984—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $752
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $229
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $76
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $22—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $162—Cavaliers $726—
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $689—Rockets $119—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Nuggets $93—Rockets $669—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Warriors $481—Pelicans $128—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $316—Under $108—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $328——Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Grizzlies $41—Raptors $126—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $105——Over $54
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $32——No $62
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $32——Yes $3
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $2.6K—Clement Tabur $25K—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.2K—Under $13K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5.6K—No $39—
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $3.5K—Rockets $1.5K—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $683—Under $2.6K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.2K
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
Maximo Zeitune $68—Maximo Zeitune $2.8K—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $328—Rockets $2.5K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $142—Rockets $2.3K—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K—Over $1.0K—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $158—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $136