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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | otsosiusa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 44% (4–5, n=9) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | $226K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #194 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (270 of 393 open) | 73% (62 of 85 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (51 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 4 at avg 55¢, ROI +47% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | otsosiusa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere | Noma Noha Akugue $589 | — | — | Sofya Lansere $24K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $17K | Under $6.4K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.3K | — | — | Under $134 |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.7K | — | — | Yes $282 |
| Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | Anastasia Zakharova $391 | — | — | Magda Linette $4.6K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | Janice Tjen $4.4K | — | — | Robin Montgomery $256 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1 | — | — | Over $2.5K |
| Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $274 | — | — | No $1.8K |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | — | — | No $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $794 | — | — | No $448 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $36 | — | — | Yes $309 |
| FC Bayern München leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $40 | — | — | Yes $263 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $248 | — | — | Over $11 |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $24 | — | — | Under $2 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $91K | — | — | No $40K |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $28K | — | — | Yes $8.3K |
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig same side · consensus Jerome Kym | Jerome Kym $1.7K | — | — | Jerome Kym $19K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.6K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | Toby Samuel $1.2K | — | — | Toby Samuel $15K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.4K |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $11K | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $6.7K | — | — | Under $4.5K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.4K | — | — | Yes $1.3K |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.4K | — | — | Over $2.6K |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $6.2K | — | — | No $20 |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | — | — | Over $3.5K |
| Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.4K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $938 | — | — | No $3.9K |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.7K | — | — | No $74 |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4.5K | — | — | Under $39 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | — | Under $1.7K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes same side · consensus Inaki Montes | Inaki Montes $879 | — | — | Inaki Montes $1.3K |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | — | — | Under $13 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | — | Under $292 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $586 | — | — | No $251 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $642 | — | — | Under $63 |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov | Jurij Rodionov $371 | — | — | Jurij Rodionov $314 |
| Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 1 - 2 Frosinone Calcio? same side · consensus No | No $305 | — | — | No $181 |
| Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $408 | — | — | Under $15 |