Consensus PnL $226K · win rate 44% (4–5, n=9) · PM monthly #171 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$225.8K
Record
4W / 5L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 9 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2297
Source
PM monthly #171
Record (90 d)
3/3 · 100%
Trades
264
Markets
9
Volume
$330.2K
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where otsosiusa's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 75%(won 100% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.