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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1nehcnehcomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)61% (4024–2617, n=6641)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M-$859K$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #139PM monthly #636PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus68% (180 of 266 open)73% (33 of 45 open)80% (4 of 5 open)55% (86 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139Politics −7 pts, n=125—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)1% (won 20% of 92)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)25% (won 44% of 2260)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)40% (won 55% of 3534)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)34% (won 87% of 3004)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1nehcnehcomnibus-076daa
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $18K——Yes $114
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
CR Flamengo $8.8K——Grêmio FBPA $3
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Under $2.2K
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $101——Yes $3.0K
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $375——Under $1.4K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $10
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.1K——Yes $393
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Solana Sierra $286——Leyre Romero Gormaz $740
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89——Yes $691
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $519——Under $203
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $296——Under $342
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $220——Wizards $331
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $538——Grizzlies $3
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Mika Stojsavljevic $37——Zeynep Sonmez $454
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $387——Yes $23
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $197——Over $140
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $251——Yes $71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $297——No $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $21——Under $273
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $11——Thunder $269
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $257——Over $5
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $196——Sabres $15
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $150——Over $38
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $143——Over $28
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52——Under $43
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
Justina Mikulskyte $2——Tiphanie Lemaitre $89
Mogi das Cruzes vs. Fortaleza Basquete Cearense
opposite sides · consensus Mogi das Cruzes
Fortaleza Basquete Cearense $45——Mogi das Cruzes $34
M15 Trois-Rivières: Louis Wessels vs Aadarsh Tripathi
opposite sides · consensus Aadarsh Tripathi
Louis Wessels $3——Aadarsh Tripathi $17
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $4——Pelicans $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3K——No $11K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.7KYes $2.2K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K——Nishesh Basavareddy $896
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.3K——No $173
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1K——Yes $249
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.0KYes $1.2K
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220——Wizards $3.9K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5K——Yes $322
Bucks vs. Celtics
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $2.1K——Celtics $170
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K——No $18
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
Giannicola Misasi $82——Giannicola Misasi $2.0K
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $1.6K——Pistons $42
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $28——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $1
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118——Under $1.1K
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $30
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $595——Lakers $607
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki
same side · consensus BC Aris Thessaloniki
Hapoel Jerusalem $998——Hapoel Jerusalem $159
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $973——No $106
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $919——No $142