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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | smoltrader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 43% (930–1224, n=2154) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | $14.8M | $38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #368 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (182 of 275 open) | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −9 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 45% of 1470 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 48% (won 5% of 710) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 6% (won 32% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 7% (won 66% of 106) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 38% (won 93% of 563) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | smoltrader |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.2K | Under $34K | Under $2.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | Anastasia Zakharova $478 | — | Magda Linette $3.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $272 | — | No $1.9K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $368 | — | Under $1.7K | — |
| Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $67 | — | Over $1.8K | — |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57 | — | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $451 | — | No $412 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $15 | — | Under $282 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $151 | — | Yes $38 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $83 | — | Under $88 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | No $140 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $136 | — | Under $6 | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $115 | — | Under $11 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | — | Yes $50 | — |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $8 | — |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $56K | — | No $26K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | — | No $8.7K | — |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.4K | — |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $9.2K | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | — | Yes $1.6K | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $7.0K | — | Under $905 | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $578 | Under $6.4K | — | — |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | No $69 | — |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $3.8K | — | No $513 | — |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $63 | — |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $612 | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.0K | — | Under $14 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $324 | — | No $1.3K | — |
| Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $124 | — | No $1.5K | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $689 | — | Under $693 | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Under $8 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Leeds United FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $817 | — | No $7 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $566 | — | No $5 | — |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $465 | — | Under $6 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $41 | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $186 | — | Under $1 | — |