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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)60% (135–91, n=226)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$14.8M$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #844
Sides with the consensus68% (267 of 392 open)73% (62 of 85 open)61% (50 of 82 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1SilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3KOver $92
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11Yes $9
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
Noma Noha Akugue $589—Sofya Lansere $24K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17KUnder $6.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Under $155—
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.7K—Yes $287—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.4K—Robin Montgomery $256—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $443—Magda Linette $4.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K——Woking FC $690
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1—Over $2.5K—
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $274—No $1.8K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8K—No $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $803—No $298—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $36—Yes $309—
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40—Yes $263—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $248—Over $11—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $24—Under $2—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $90K—No $40K—
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
Jerome Kym $1.7K—Jerome Kym $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $1.2K—Toby Samuel $15K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $11K—Under $1.4K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.7K—Under $4.5K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.4K—Yes $1.4K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.4K—Over $2.6K—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.2K—No $20—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $3.5K—
Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.4K—Over $1.5K—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K—No $74—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4.3K—Under $36—
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $938—No $3.3K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $1.7K—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Under $1.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
same side · consensus Inaki Montes
Inaki Montes $879—Inaki Montes $1.3K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K—Under $13—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $287—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $4
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $586—No $251—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $371—Jurij Rodionov $314—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $615—Under $66—