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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)71% (2750–1138, n=3888)48% (641–685, n=1326)100% (1–0, n=1)53% (498–446, n=944)
Consensus PnL$518K$564K$18K$664K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #18was PM monthly #568PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus52% (61 of 118 open)47% (21 of 45 open)0% (0 of 15 open)36% (27 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564———
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)—12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)—23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)—44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)—20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Flames $225Kings $7—Flames $10K
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $157—Nitin Kumar Sinha $49
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
New Mexico Lobos $165Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K—New Mexico Lobos $525
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Kings $37Kings $50—Flames $156
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $779Texas Tech $3.6K—Texas Tech $5.9K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.4K—Amanda Nunes $68K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $15K—Ducks $592
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
Arizona $30——Utah $15K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $9.7K—Arizona $2.4K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
Nevada Wolf Pack $12Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K——
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $1.7K——
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $91—UTEP $2.3K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $1.6K—Ducks $578
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $267——Oklahoma $507
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $221
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—LSU $23—Texas $188
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2——Over $71
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
Utah $50——Sharks $22
Texas vs. LSU
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $381K—Texas $309
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $19K—Over $677
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $15K—Texas $128
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K——
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus UTSA
—North Texas $2.2K—North Texas $541
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $128—Over $1.2K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4—Over $1.2K
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
same side · consensus Sydney Kings
Sydney Kings $818Sydney Kings $396——
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $843—Over $183
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $42Over $705——
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11—Over $509
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
Islanders $32——Islanders $368
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Renegades $336Melbourne Renegades $42——
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $28——Over $319
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49——Colts $3