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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677nehaipomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)53% (10–9, n=19)60% (9–6, n=15)50% (15020–15050, n=30070)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$931$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #1PM monthly #567PM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus71% (183 of 257 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)62% (96 of 156 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)—8% (won 60% of 899)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)—21% (won 87% of 2444)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)—39% (won 95% of 4418)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)—32% (won 99% of 3709)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677nehaipomnibus-076daa
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.8K——Under $15K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova $16K——Oksana Selekhmeteva $646
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.2KYes $1.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.6K——Tomas Machac $1.1K
Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K——Yes $51
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $325
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $10
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $365
FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K——Yes $96
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $87——Yes $749
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
opposite sides · consensus Filippo Romano
Peter Makk $333——Filippo Romano $246
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $379——Yes $73
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380——Yes $23
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $12——Thunder $251
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $234——Deborah Chiesa $17
W50 Heraklion: Eliska Tichackova vs Alessandra Mazzola
opposite sides · consensus Eliska Tichackova
Eliska Tichackova $214——Alessandra Mazzola $3
W50 Heraklion: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Elena Korokozidi
opposite sides · consensus Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $140——Elena Korokozidi $25
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
Leonid Sheyngezikht $137——Aren Baybars $22
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $124——Yes $17
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - United21 Group B
opposite sides · consensus EYEBALLERS
Esport Academy Copenhagen $3——EYEBALLERS $130
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52——Under $43
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $18——Maya Joint $30
W15 Monastir: Pauline Gloeckner vs Sophie Ehrenbergerova
opposite sides · consensus Pauline Gloeckner
Pauline Gloeckner $14——Sophie Ehrenbergerova $12
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $7.2K——No $11K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $1.6K
FC Pohang Steelers vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K——Under $26
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $7.2K——No $1.7K
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K——No $797
Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats
same side · consensus Brisbane Bullets
Brisbane Bullets $4.5K——Brisbane Bullets $1.0K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.6K——Yes $988
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8K——Yes $1.7K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.9K——No $289
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.0K——No $84
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $2.6K——Daniil Medvedev $13
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $730——Yes $1.5K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $16
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $208
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K——Juan Bautista Torres $219
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
Giannicola Misasi $82——Giannicola Misasi $1.7K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $65
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $1.3K——Otto Virtanen $3
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $1
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev $1.1K——Alexander Zverev $44
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $1
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $914——Over $11
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $742——No $108
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $70——Over $759
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $488——Joaquin Aguilar $272
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $50——Spurs $706
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $652——Over $2