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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)44% (47–61, n=108)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$54K$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #980PM monthly #114PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (117 of 166 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (73 of 101 open)56% (71 of 126 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +5 pts n=47, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=23, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −11 pts, n=31NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%44% of 106 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 31% of 13)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)56% (won 39% of 59)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)32% (won 59% of 34)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdndb1RN1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $320——Rams $24K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $7.4K——Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $141——No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K——FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.6K——Under $420
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $883——Yes $254
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Calvin Hemery $973——Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $866——Under $28
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $371——Over $185
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $320——Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $78——Over $340
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
76ers $167——Bulls $106
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $8——Over $9
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $33K——No $27K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $29K——No $16K
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $1.4K——Broncos $38K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $13K——Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13K——CD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11K——Yes $5.1K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $10K——No $3.9K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.0K——Over $5.0K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $9.7K——Club Atlético de Madrid $137
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
Stefan Kozlov $6.5K——Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.8K——No $833
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K——No $5.8K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.8K——No $1.9K
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.0K——No $536
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $7.9K——FC Barcelona $11
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $214——No $7.6K
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $5.1K—Broncos $2.1K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $3.6K——FC Barcelona $3.2K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.0K——No $657
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $214——No $4.4K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.3K——Over $2.2K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2K——Under $468
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $820——No $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $1.7K——Bulls $80
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
76ers $764——76ers $493
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Under $10