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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | no settled market | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (15178–15196, n=30374) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | — | $4.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #616 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (127 of 185 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 47% (54 of 114 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 50% of 2 at avg 29¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.5K | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sera Nishimoto opposite sides · consensus Sera Nishimoto | Sera Nishimoto $527 | — | — | Shiho Tsujioka $494 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $895 | — | — | Tommy Paul $22 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $486 | — | — | Yes $358 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $514 | — | — | Under $207 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic $36 | — | — | Zeynep Sonmez $467 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $197 | — | — | Over $166 |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $270 | — | — | Yes $71 |
| Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $249 | — | — | Yes $73 |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $90 | — | — | Yes $214 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $297 | — | — | No $7 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $143 | — | — | Over $28 |
| W100 Incheon: Xinyu Gao vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho opposite sides · consensus Xinyu Gao | Xinyu Gao $137 | — | — | Priska Madelyn Nugroho $14 |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $136 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte | Justina Mikulskyte $2 | — | — | Tiphanie Lemaitre $98 |
| CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $53 | — | — | Under $42 |
| AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Ontario Reign opposite sides · consensus San Jose Barracuda | San Jose Barracuda $15 | — | — | Ontario Reign $56 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Under $1.6K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $2.8K | — | — | No $9.9K |
| Heat vs. Clippers same side · consensus Heat | Clippers $5.8K | — | — | Clippers $2.6K |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $4.5K | — | — | No $177 |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Maiko Uchijima vs Koharu Ito same side · consensus Koharu Ito | Koharu Ito $3.9K | — | — | Koharu Ito $148 |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.5K | — | — | Yes $432 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Lakers $1.8K | — | — | Lakers $619 |
| M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi | Giannicola Misasi $69 | — | — | Giannicola Misasi $1.7K |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | — | No $119 |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | Yes $642 | — | — | Yes $203 |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? same side · consensus No | No $732 | — | — | No $6 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic same side · consensus Xinyu Wang | Xinyu Wang $218 | — | — | Xinyu Wang $512 |
| Spread: Heat (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Clippers $595 | — | — | Clippers $9 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $575 | — | — | Under $28 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $446 | — | — | No $19 |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | No $153 | — | — | No $291 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $251 | — | — | No $110 |
| Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5) same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir | Energetik Mingechevir $351 | — | — | Energetik Mingechevir $2 |
| Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | No $30 | — | — | No $303 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $99 | — | — | No $64 |
| Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5) same side · consensus Machida Zelvia | Shanghai Shenhua FC $96 | — | — | Shanghai Shenhua FC $43 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $80 | — | — | No $21 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $60 | — | — | No $27 |
| Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club? same side · consensus Yes | No $17 | — | — | No $48 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | Yes $19 | — | — | Yes $4 |