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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | uu9978 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) | 83% (5–1, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $14.8M | $1.4M | $23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #966 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (224 of 296 open) | 54% (85 of 157 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 80% of 5 at avg 61¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 40% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
53 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | uu9978 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | Under $21K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $6 | No $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | Under $1.3K | Under $64 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | Under $20 | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.6K | No $3.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | Under $872 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | Under $41 | Under $801 | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $27K | Over $1.5K | — | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $24K | Yes $1.2K | — | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.2K | Over $3.2K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K | — |
| Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.4K | Under $305 | — | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | Under $19 | — | — |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $981 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.6K | Yes $362 | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.2K | Under $2.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC | Newcastle United FC $2.5K | Fulham FC $48 | — | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $963 | Over $1.2K | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $368 | Under $1.7K | — | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 | — |
| Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $67 | Over $1.8K | — | — |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57 | Yes $1.7K | — | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino | Adrian Mannarino $1.8K | Jan Simonsson $7 | — | — |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $396 | Over $979 | — | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | No $524 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $245 | Yes $715 | — | — |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | No $910 | — | — |
| Manchester City FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $45 | No $797 | — | — |
| Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Fulham FC | Fulham FC $776 | Newcastle United FC $2 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | Yes $154 | — |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $55 | Yes $547 | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $15 | Under $282 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | No $11 | — | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $60 | No $174 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $151 | Yes $38 | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $83 | Under $88 | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | No $140 | — | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $136 | Under $6 | — | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $137 | — | Yes $2 | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $115 | Under $11 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | Yes $50 | — | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | Under $12 | — |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | Over $8 | — | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $190K | Yes $27K | — | — |