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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpNewshoundRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)71% (694–280, n=974)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)50% (19547–19609, n=39156)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$64K$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #901PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus71% (183 of 257 open)32% (7 of 22 open)67% (29 of 43 open)70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%72% of 968 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)23% (won 23% of 218)10% (won 57% of 2606)7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)13% (won 64% of 122)22% (won 94% of 5665)20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)17% (won 76% of 169)36% (won 99% of 9185)22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)47% (won 95% of 459)32% (won 100% of 8345)51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpNewshoundRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $943Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $940—Over $2.9KUnder $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $7No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $44—No $1.2KYes $51
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $117—Yes $162No $288
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K—No $1.5KNo $3.3K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115—No $3.3KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $100—Under $1.1KUnder $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
opposite sides · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $809—Jeline Vandromme $3.4K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Luanda: Wozuko Mdlulwa vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $1.7K—Wozuko Mdlulwa $8—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $234—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420——Under $762
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $534——Yes $175
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $495——Yes $192
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $94——Yes $3
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $45—
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova $16K—Polina Kudermetova $5.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $503——No $16K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
Felix Gill $5.3K—Felix Gill $3.7K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $6.0K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $1.3K—Otto Virtanen $2.9K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.8K——Under $2.4K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $1.9K—Samuele Pieri $1.5K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $639——Under $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.2K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1K——Yes $161
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379—No $662—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $749——Yes $273
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $163——Under $741
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $307——Under $408
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $666——Over $5
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
Leonid Sheyngezikht $137—Leonid Sheyngezikht $373—
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Vittoria Paganetti
Vittoria Paganetti $73—Vittoria Paganetti $366—
W50 Heraklion: Eliska Tichackova vs Alessandra Mazzola
same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova
Eliska Tichackova $214—Eliska Tichackova $109—
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
Jeremy Gschwendtner $112—Jeremy Gschwendtner $204—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127——CD Pamplona $6
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $18—Maria Sakkari $87—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $44