Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme

10 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Robin Montgomery (71%) · Robin Montgomery at 77¢ · $11K held · ends Nov 11

Robin Montgomery77¢Jeline Vandromme23¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Robin Montgomery

Consensus Traders

Robin Montgomery 71%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$11.3K

Combined PnL

-$119.43

Smart Money Entry

64.6¢ → 76.5¢

+18% since entry · 10 traders

Research grade

NeutralRobin Montgomery at 77%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Robin Montgomery

10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Robin Montgomery77%

Jeline Vandromme24%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Robin Montgomery10 traders

Total Value$6.0K

Total Shares8,446

Combined PnL+$429

Jeline Vandromme4 traders

Total Value$924.23

Total Shares3,581

Combined PnL-$548.43

Robin Montgomery — 71%Jeline Vandromme — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VE VenusianARB<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 78.4¢	$3.1K	$2.7K	-$321.5	52% 1149-1066 (2215)
└ Robin Montgomery leg	Robin Montgomeryavg 78.4¢	$2.2K	$2.0K	-$222.1
└ Jeline Vandromme leg	Jeline Vandrommeavg 33.4¢	$847.9	$748.5	-$99.4
tradecraft	Robin Montgomeryavg 60.1¢	$1.9K	$2.1K	+$205.58	51% 6270-6023 (12293)
65 6512395314597884	Robin Montgomeryavg 70¢	$1.5K	$1.6K	+$84.38	51% 4564-4425 (8989)
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 62.2¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	+$5.28	52% 730-668 (1398)
└ Robin Montgomery leg	Robin Montgomeryavg 62.2¢	$640.28	$714.86	+$71.12
└ Jeline Vandromme leg	Jeline Vandrommeavg 36.8¢	$379.32	$314.69	-$65.84
FL Flaznorp	Robin Montgomeryavg 60.3¢	$641.74	$808.89	+$167.14	51% 24004-22756 (46760)
AN AnonymousUsernameCTR	Jeline Vandrommeavg 41¢	$1.2K	$744.39	-$407.31	71% 7038-2817 (9855)
AU austr	Robin Montgomeryavg 77.9¢	$505.75	$496.75	-$9	64% 596-340 (936)
VeryLucky888	Robin Montgomeryavg 57¢	$464.27	$456.45	-$7.82	58% 45382-32888 (78270)
LI LightParadoxARB<$100	Jeline Vandrommeavg 35.1¢	$505.67	$433.71	-$71.96	53% 1134-1025 (2159)
└ Robin Montgomery leg	Robin Montgomeryavg 75¢	$230.88	$226.38	-$4.5
└ Jeline Vandromme leg	Jeline Vandrommeavg 35.1¢	$274.78	$207.33	-$67.46
RN1	Robin Montgomeryavg 78.9¢	$331.8	$322.48	-$9.32	53% 60020-52387 (112407)
LI LimousinARB<$100	Jeline Vandrommeavg 30.2¢	$170.7	$168.98	-$1.71	54% 1178-1008 (2186)
└ Jeline Vandromme leg	Jeline Vandrommeavg 30.2¢	$130.22	$131.45	+$1.24
└ Robin Montgomery leg	Robin Montgomeryavg 75¢	$40.48	$37.53	-$2.95
0xheavy888<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 57¢	$95.76	$94.08	-$1.68	56% 7694-6169 (13863)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Jeline Vandrommeavg 25.2¢	$113.11	$82.88	-$30.23	51% 1084-1025 (2109)
TH thestingsnakeCTR	Jeline Vandrommeavg 45.2¢	$699.35	$68.71	-$111.54	60% 4334-2905 (7239)
BI BillBenter2026<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 74.9¢	$41.21	$40.7	-$0.51	57% 19055-14098 (33153)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Jeline Vandrommeavg 43¢	$27.61	$28.25	+$0.64	61% 14014-9029 (23043)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 74¢	$18.5	$18.63	+$0.13	52% 14207-12987 (27194)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Robin Montgomeryavg 57¢	$5.7	$5.8	+$0.1	82% 6948-1498 (8446)

VenusianARB<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$3,054.98

Value

$2.7K

PnL

-$321.5

Record

52%

1149-1066 (2215)

Both legs:

Robin Montgomery$2,207.0778.4¢-$222.1

Jeline Vandromme$847.933.4¢-$99.4

tradecraft

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$1,941.98

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$205.58

Record

51%

6270-6023 (12293)

6512395314597884

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$1,487.7

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$84.38

Record

51%

4564-4425 (8989)

1lovejumpARB<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$1,129.99

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$5.28

Record

52%

730-668 (1398)

Both legs:

Robin Montgomery$640.2862.2¢+$71.12

Jeline Vandromme$379.3236.8¢-$65.84

Flaznorp

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$641.74

Value

$808.89

PnL

+$167.14

Record

51%

24004-22756 (46760)

AnonymousUsernameCTR

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$1,151.69

Value

$744.39

PnL

-$407.31

Record

71%

7038-2817 (9855)

austr

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$505.75

Value

$496.75

PnL

-$9

Record

64%

596-340 (936)

VeryLucky888

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$464.27

Value

$456.45

PnL

-$7.82

Record

58%

45382-32888 (78270)

LightParadoxARB<$100

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$505.67

Value

$433.71

PnL

-$71.96

Record

53%

1134-1025 (2159)

Both legs:

Robin Montgomery$230.8875¢-$4.5

Jeline Vandromme$274.7835.1¢-$67.46

RN1

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$331.8

Value

$322.48

PnL

-$9.32

Record

53%

60020-52387 (112407)

LimousinARB<$100

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$170.7

Value

$168.98

PnL

-$1.71

Record

54%

1178-1008 (2186)

Both legs:

Jeline Vandromme$130.2230.2¢+$1.24

Robin Montgomery$40.4875¢-$2.95

0xheavy888<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$95.76

Value

$94.08

PnL

-$1.68

Record

56%

7694-6169 (13863)

MadridTimeCTR

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$113.11

Value

$82.88

PnL

-$30.23

Record

51%

1084-1025 (2109)

thestingsnakeCTR

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$699.35

Value

$68.71

PnL

-$111.54

Record

60%

4334-2905 (7239)

BillBenter2026<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$41.21

Value

$40.7

PnL

-$0.51

Record

57%

19055-14098 (33153)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$27.61

Value

$28.25

PnL

+$0.64

Record

61%

14014-9029 (23043)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$18.5

Value

$18.63

PnL

+$0.13

Record

52%

14207-12987 (27194)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

Robin Montgomery

Invested

$5.7

Value

$5.8

PnL

+$0.1

Record

82%

6948-1498 (8446)

Research grade

NeutralRobin Montgomery at 77%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Robin Montgomery

10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Robin Montgomery wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance78.4%

76.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$27.60

Max Loss

-$100.00

127.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.