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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMitchieboiprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)no settled market50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$3.7M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #820PM monthly #63PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (177 of 237 open)no open consensus position76% (16 of 21 open)45% (52 of 115 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%86% of 7 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)14% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)29% (won 100% of 2)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)14% (won 100% of 1)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)43% (won 100% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMitchieboiprimmRN1
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
——Iowa State $16KBaylor $21K
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
Kentucky $2——Tennessee $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Will Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.1K——Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $4.2KLSU $39
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Spread: Delaware (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Delaware
——Delaware $2.1KKennesaw State $1.6K
Arkansas vs. Auburn
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
Auburn $33—Arkansas $3.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K——No $195
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.3KOver $619
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $2.7K——Knicks $188
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United FC $2.5K——Fulham FC $48
Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $405
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $67——Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57——Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino $1.8K——Jan Simonsson $7
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K——Under $264
Colorado vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $565Under $500
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $256——Wizards $720
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $245——Yes $715
Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
——Iowa $390Northwestern $521
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $8
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
——Notre Dame $175KNotre Dame $25K
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $23K——Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20K——No $6.7K
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $16K——Over $5.0K
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
same side · consensus Georgia
——Georgia $14KGeorgia $5.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $7.2K——Thiago Seyboth Wild $8.3K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $12K——Knicks $1.8K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11K——Yes $2.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K——Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
Iowa $3.8K——Iowa $5.2K
Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KUnder $4.2K
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9K——No $1.1K
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $3.4K——Thunder $1.3K
Air Force vs. Army
same side · consensus Army
Air Force $30——Air Force $4.4K
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
——Notre Dame $56Notre Dame $2.5K
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1K——Under $257
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $1.9K——Nets $262
Spread: Kansas (-2.5)
same side · consensus UCF
——UCF $1.9KUCF $3
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
Suns $1.8K——Suns $82
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $124——No $1.5K