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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2531–1028, n=3559) | 53% (481–419, n=900) | 0% (0–3, n=3) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $501K | $363K | -$4.6K | $782K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #954 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (84 of 175 open) | 63% (147 of 232 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | — | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | — | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Gen.G $3 | Bilibili Gaming $91K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $13K | Cavaliers $6.5K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $358 | Under $8.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $10 | Cavaliers $5.0K | — | — |
| UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders | Fresno State Bulldogs $906 | UC Riverside Highlanders $1.0K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $16 | Under $960 | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $637 | South Carolina $258 | — | — |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings | San Francisco Dons $33 | Portland State Vikings $337 | — | — |
| South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | Under $286 | — | — |
| Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers | Saint Joseph's Hawks $90 | Penn Quakers $153 | — | — |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $229 | Providence Friars $3 | — | — |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars | Colorado Buffaloes $170 | Providence Friars $3 | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $108 | Under $65 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | Over $116 | — | — |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | San Francisco Dons $92 | Portland State Vikings $52 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | Nets $11 | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Gen.G $4.1K | Gen.G $390K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $6.2K | Pelicans $18K | — | — |
| Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5) same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $6.8K | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $3.6K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $81 | Under $6.5K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $84 | Under $4.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $135 | Cavaliers $3.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $241 | Cavaliers $3.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $75 | Cavaliers $2.1K | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $1.1K | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $174 | Falcons $1.2K | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7 | Under $702 | — | — |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $38 | Under $632 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $181 | Mavericks $115 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $21 | Under $229 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $56 | Under $112 | — | — |