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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Danny8273 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 71% (2970–1233, n=4203) | 53% (532–472, n=1004) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.4K | $533K | $635K | $530K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 46% (109 of 236 open) | 52% (57 of 109 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Danny8273 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | 49ers $61K | Cowboys $275 |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $397 | Packers $7.1K | Vikings $8.5K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $80K | Titans $109K |
| Bills vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $122K | Jets $54K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $38K | Vikings $12K |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $12K | Yes $3.3K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.3K | Over $5.0K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $87 | — | Chiefs $7.8K |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $867 | Over $4.1K | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | Over $937 | — |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.4K | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | 76ers $3.1K | Pacers $292 |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.5K | Yes $493 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $842 | Oklahoma $694 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $28 | Under $529 | — |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons | — | Air Force Falcons $18 | Pacific Tigers $273 | — |
| CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | Yes $3.8K | — | — |
| Spread: France (-2.5) same side · consensus Türkiye | — | France $11K | France $29 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $153 | Mavericks $9.2K | — |
| Will Spain win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.1K | Yes $4.8K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.3K | Under $9 | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $5.8K | 76ers $2.2K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2.9K | Under $9 | — |
| Texans vs. Browns same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $14 | Browns $1.5K | — |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.5K | Yes $23 | — |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $695 | Yes $641 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $53 | Colts $1.3K | — |
| Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $282 | Yes $22 | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | Over $264 | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Under $4 | — |