← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | eleonorrigby | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (73–54, n=127) | 59% (10–7, n=17) | 71% (3118–1302, n=4420) | 53% (578–504, n=1082) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.5M | $34K | $661K | $634K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #922 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (9 of 18 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 54% (108 of 200 open) | 58% (46 of 80 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=653 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42% | 41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 5% of 566) | 13% (won 41% of 104) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 38% of 335) | 25% (won 70% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 11% (won 62% of 157) | 45% (won 78% of 370) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 94% of 326) | 18% (won 97% of 149) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | eleonorrigby | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.2M | — | Cowboys $17 | 49ers $109K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $21K | — | Hornets $6.1K | Hornets $638 |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $389 | — | Lakers $4.4K | Lakers $646 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Clippers $608 | — | Hornets $2.0K | Clippers $2.8K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $43K | — | — | 49ers $1.1K |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $35K | — | — | 49ers $254 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $3.6K | — | — | 49ers $3.5K |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Knicks $4 | Raptors $6.1K |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $44 | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Knicks $135 | Raptors $1.6K |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $45 | — | Lakers $1.2K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $597 | Under $614 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $854 | Celtics $283 |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $10 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | — | Mavericks $139 | Celtics $859 |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $681 | Spurs $131 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $421 | Under $132 |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Spurs $397 | Jazz $84 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Wizards $182 | Rockets $90 |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5 | Over $133 |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $133K | — | — | Cowboys $59K |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Celtics $5.2K | Celtics $40K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $79 | Over $23K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $539 | Raptors $14K |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $146 | Mavericks $7.1K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $149 | Over $5.8K |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $2.2K | Jazz $923 |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $617 | Under $445 |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $22 | Celtics $583 |
| Spread: Celtics (-16.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Celtics $249 | Celtics $157 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $141 | Under $261 |