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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpglennyorkshireRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)46% (206–246, n=452)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M-$8.1K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10was PM monthly #901PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)76% (274 of 360 open)no open consensus position66% (103 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NFL +7 pts n=51, ROI −8%
  • MLB +12 pts n=18, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Soccer −4 pts, n=200—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%53% of 380 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 13% of 24)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)27% (won 45% of 103)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)47% (won 54% of 180)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)19% (won 75% of 73)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

69 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpglennyorkshireRN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $442—Notre Dame $25K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.7K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $421—Over $4.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Over $17
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.5K—No $165
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2K—Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $416—Over $1.7K
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Over $109
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.7K—BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $2
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $1
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
—Willem II Tilburg $825—AZ $700
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $236
Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $953—Over $259
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Khaleej Saudi Club
—Al Khaleej Saudi Club $1.2K—Al Riyadh Saudi Club $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $245—Yes $715
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $874—Over $18
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $755—No $83
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $194—No $618
Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $596—Over $68
Will Pisa SC vs. Virtus Entella end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $137—Yes $194
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $151—Over $2
Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
—1. FC Magdeburg $101—Hertha BSC $18
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $6.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-09-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.6K—No $6.3K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $11K—Yes $2.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $2.7K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $5.6K
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.8K—Under $567
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.1K—Under $1.2K
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.1K—Under $550
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $52—No $4.4K
Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $1.9K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.1K—Under $276
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Under $1.6K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Paris FC
—Paris FC $2.3K—Paris FC $1.4K
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $3.3K
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?
same side · consensus No
—No $113—No $3.2K
Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $696—Under $2.1K
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
—Suns $2.2K—Suns $322