Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Under 40%
1 arb excluded
$7.3K
$7.5K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 74.6Β’ | $5.2K | $6.1K | +$7.0K | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
![]() RN1 | Underavg 93Β’ | $747.78 | $706.92 | +$666.06 | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
LA LaarsYARB<$100 | Underavg 65Β’ | $647.86 | $500 | +$352.14 | 51% 3557-3462 (7019) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 65Β’ | $325 | $500 | +$175 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 32Β’ | $162.91 | β | +$177.14 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 14.2Β’ | $241.51 | β | -$75.4 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
PU purplegattoCTR | Overavg 34.1Β’ | $129.3 | β | -$129.3 | 49% 6418-6597 (13015) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 20.7Β’ | $21.21 | β | -$16.7 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 59994-58808 (118802) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Overavg 32Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 64% 10183-5729 (15912) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 94Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 47% 9585-10702 (20287) |
KN KnightDasCapital<$100 | Underavg 69Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 7317-7098 (14415) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 65Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 47904-34520 (82424) |
Invested
$5,214.87
Value
$6.1K
PnL
+$7.0K
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
RN1Invested
$747.78
Value
$706.92
PnL
+$666.06
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Invested
$647.86
Value
$500
PnL
+$352.14
Record
51%
3557-3462 (7019)
Both legs:
Invested
$241.51
Value
β
PnL
-$75.4
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$129.3
Value
β
PnL
-$129.3
Record
49%
6418-6597 (13015)
Invested
$21.21
Value
β
PnL
-$16.7
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
59994-58808 (118802)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
10183-5729 (15912)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
9585-10702 (20287)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
7317-7098 (14415)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
47904-34520 (82424)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Under β $6.1K

RN1
Under β $706.92
LaarsY
ARBArbitrage β excluded
38791873984189
CTROver β $0
purplegatto
CTROver β $0
Pan9X
CTROver β $0
cigarettes
CTROver β $0
NM-P
CTROver β $0
lryyy
Under β $0
KnightDasCapital
Under β $0