Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Will Kayserispor win on 2026-09-07?

Resolved Yes. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

No 80%

Total Value

$11.61

Combined PnL

$-5.8K

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 16 top traders (69%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares20,136

Combined PnL$-5.8K

Yes5 traders

Total Value$11.61

Total Shares12

Combined PnL+$10.67

No — 69%Yes — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Noavg 26.4¢	$3.1K	—	$-2.8K	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
RN1CTR	Noavg 32.6¢	$3.0K	—	$-2.9K	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Noavg 52.3¢	$10.82	—	-$5.35	33% 20011-40834 (60845)
PT PT-S7<$100	Yesavg 69.2¢	$91.82	$11.61	+$10.67	49% 3284-3450 (6734)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100	Noavg 62¢	$4.98	—	-$10.53	53% 2714-2387 (5101)
DO donthackmeCTR<$100	Noavg 60¢	—	—	+$0	55% 39043-31788 (70831)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Noavg 19¢	—	—	+$0	50% 59994-58808 (118802)
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR<$100	Noavg 63¢	—	—	+$0	50% 2796-2767 (5563)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100	Noavg 54¢	—	—	+$0	50% 29172-29037 (58209)
0X 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816CTR<$100	Noavg 63.8¢	—	—	+$0	50% 5889-5918 (11807)
NM NM-PCTR<$100	Noavg 62.7¢	—	—	+$0	64% 10183-5729 (15912)
GC GC-PCTR<$100	Noavg 62.4¢	—	—	+$0	64% 10184-5783 (15967)
AR ARocky33<$100	Yesavg 80.1¢	—	—	+$0	76% 4579-1422 (6001)
SP spyGoodLuck77<$100	Yesavg 38.1¢	—	—	+$0	62% 1928-1173 (3101)
nigiri99<$100	Yesavg 38¢	—	—	+$0	46% 8770-10464 (19234)
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540<$100	Yesavg 89¢	—	—	+$0	82% 2669-597 (3266)

Invested

$3,098.16

Value

—

PnL

$-2.8K

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

Invested

$3,012.85

Value

—

PnL

$-2.9K

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$10.82

Value

—

PnL

-$5.35

Record

33%

20011-40834 (60845)

Invested

$91.82

Value

$11.61

PnL

+$10.67

Record

49%

3284-3450 (6734)

rayvanmechelenCTR<$100

Invested

$4.98

Value

—

PnL

-$10.53

Record

53%

2714-2387 (5101)

donthackmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

39043-31788 (70831)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

59994-58808 (118802)

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

2796-2767 (5563)

GoalLineGhostCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

29172-29037 (58209)

0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

5889-5918 (11807)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10183-5729 (15912)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10184-5783 (15967)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

76%

4579-1422 (6001)

spyGoodLuck77<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

1928-1173 (3101)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

8770-10464 (19234)

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

82%

2669-597 (3266)

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 16 top traders (69%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x3f681be8...058a8b

Slug

tur2-ese-kay-2026-09-07-kay

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

No — $0

RN1

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

PT-S7

Yes — $11.61

rayvanmechelen

No — $0

donthackme

No — $0

cigarettes

No — $0

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

No — $0

GoalLineGhost

No — $0

0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816

No — $0

Trade on Polymarket