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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?

Resolved No. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

No 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

$4.5K

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders

Total Value$3.9K

Total Shares3,900

Combined PnL+$4.5K

Yes7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares132

Combined PnL+$16.96

No — 46%Yes — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Noavg 80.7¢	$2.8K	$3.4K	+$3.9K	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Noavg 79¢	$329.86	$412.25	+$494.64	56% 8738-6795 (15533)
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100	Yesavg 21.7¢	$469.28	$206	-$263.28	58% 52330-38533 (90863)
└ No leg	Noavg 94.3¢	$194.22	$206	+$11.78
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 21.7¢	$275.06	—	-$275.06
FL Flaznorp	Noavg 95.2¢	$137.33	$119.99	+$102.65	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
38 38791873984189CTR	Yesavg 14.7¢	$125.52	—	-$11.79	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$31.25	—	+$28.75	28% 1154-3035 (4189)
E4 e46m3CTR<$100	Yesavg 6.7¢	—	—	+$0	63% 33619-19478 (53097)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Yesavg 24¢	—	—	+$0	49% 15008-15929 (30937)
SN SnakeBall<$100	Noavg 79.4¢	—	—	+$0	51% 38648-37820 (76468)
NM NM-PCTR<$100	Yesavg 5¢	—	—	+$0	64% 10183-5729 (15912)
DG DG-NOCTR<$100	Yesavg 6¢	—	—	+$0	38% 682-1101 (1783)
GC GC-P<$100	Noavg 94¢	—	—	+$0	64% 10184-5783 (15967)
SE sentrio<$100	Noavg 80¢	—	—	+$0	50% 26504-26107 (52611)
nigiri99CTR<$100	Yesavg 6.3¢	—	—	+$0	46% 8770-10464 (19234)

Invested

$2,833.99

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$3.9K

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$329.86

Value

$412.25

PnL

+$494.64

Record

56%

8738-6795 (15533)

UpTheBluesARB<$100

Invested

$469.28

Value

$206

PnL

-$263.28

Record

58%

52330-38533 (90863)

Both legs:

No$194.2294.3¢+$11.78

Yes$275.0621.7¢-$275.06

Invested

$137.33

Value

$119.99

PnL

+$102.65

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$125.52

Value

—

PnL

-$11.79

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

lovedudleyCTR<$100

Invested

$31.25

Value

—

PnL

+$28.75

Record

28%

1154-3035 (4189)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

33619-19478 (53097)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

15008-15929 (30937)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

38648-37820 (76468)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10183-5729 (15912)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

682-1101 (1783)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10184-5783 (15967)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

26504-26107 (52611)

nigiri99CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

8770-10464 (19234)

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x56be0290...81158a

Slug

ucl-bay-bog-2026-09-10-exact-score-2-0

Traders in this Market

RN1

No — $3.4K

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

No — $412.25

UpTheBlues

Arbitrage — excluded

Flaznorp

No — $119.99

38791873984189

Yes — $0

lovedudley

Yes — $0

e46m3

Yes — $0

LuckyLoo

Yes — $0

SnakeBall

No — $0

NM-P

Yes — $0

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