Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 5.5

Resolved Under. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Under 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.3K

Combined PnL

$5.4K

Under

6 of 14 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over0%

Under100%

Under6 traders

Total Value$5.0K

Total Shares5,020

Combined PnL+$5.5K

Over8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,521

Combined PnL-$174.35

Under — 43%Over — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Underavg 88.4¢	$4.2K	$4.7K	+$5.2K	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
FE ferrariChampions2026ARB<$100	Underavg 73.6¢	$255.85	$278.68	+$22.82	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
└ Under leg	Underavg 73.6¢	$205.18	$278.68	+$73.5
└ Over leg	Overavg 5.3¢	$50.68	—	-$50.68
RN1	Underavg 84.2¢	$274.78	$302.84	+$330.91	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR	Overavg 12¢	$122.06	—	-$122.06	56% 8738-6795 (15533)
38 38791873984189CTR	Overavg 10.3¢	$456.07	—	-$23.35	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Overavg 17.3¢	$45.5	—	-$28.94	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
PA pauleta23<$100	Underavg 90.8¢	$20.1	$22.12	+$2.03	65% 24597-12971 (37568)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Overavg 14.5¢	—	—	+$0	50% 59994-58808 (118802)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100	Overavg 12.4¢	—	—	+$0	50% 29172-29037 (58209)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Overavg 28.5¢	—	—	+$0	59% 33715-23828 (57543)
SM Smallcoins<$100	Underavg 89.5¢	—	—	+$0	53% 1213-1085 (2298)
nigiri99<$100	Underavg 88.5¢	—	—	+$0	46% 8770-10464 (19234)
ocr7<$100	Underavg 91.5¢	—	—	+$0	55% 1405-1155 (2560)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Overavg 9.2¢	—	—	+$0	47% 9585-10702 (20287)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Overavg 16.6¢	—	—	+$0	56% 77627-59916 (137543)