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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Tan4321
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)100% (3–0, n=3)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$14.8M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)69% (269 of 392 open)61% (50 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 97¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Tan4321
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
—Noma Noha Akugue $589Sofya Lansere $24K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5.3KUnder $153—
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.7KYes $282—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $391Magda Linette $4.5K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.4KRobin Montgomery $256—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1Over $2.5K—
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $274No $1.8K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8KNo $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $794No $301—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524—
Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $36Yes $309—
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $40Yes $263—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $248Over $11—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $24Under $2—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $91KNo $40K—
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $1.7KJerome Kym $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $1.2KToby Samuel $15K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4KBianca Andreescu $8.4K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $11KUnder $1.4K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.7KUnder $4.5K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.4KYes $1.4K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.4KOver $2.6K—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2KNo $20—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $3.5K—
Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $1.5K—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $74—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.5KUnder $39—
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $938No $3.3K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.7K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
same side · consensus Inaki Montes
—Inaki Montes $879Inaki Montes $1.3K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KUnder $13—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $295—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $586No $251—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $408Under $360—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $642Under $64—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $371Jurij Rodionov $314—
Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 1 - 2 Frosinone Calcio?
same side · consensus No
—No $305No $181—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $310Under $2—