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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)65% (471–252, n=723)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$24K$4.1M$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #972PM monthly #9PM monthly #114PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (7 of 9 open)74% (146 of 196 open)73% (73 of 100 open)55% (88 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpndb1RN1
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $35K—No $221
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17K—No $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Rams $14K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10K—Under $886
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $10K—Under $3
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.1K—Yes $661
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.2K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $6.1K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $4.5K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $146
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $427—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $748—Under $282
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $805No $2——
Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $413No $148——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $7
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $200—Under $46
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $58Yes $2——
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $113K—No $43K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $31K—Under $19K
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.1K—Broncos $39K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $15K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.7K—Over $24K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19K—Under $12K
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $7.3K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13K—Over $10K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $13K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $13K—No $5.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $1.5K
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2K—No $3.3K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0K—Over $4.0K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4K—No $3.1K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7K—No $282
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3K—No $386
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.3K—Over $847
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4KNo $651——
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $234
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820—No $1.6K
Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos
same side · consensus Boise State Broncos
—Boise State Broncos $1.4K—Boise State Broncos $929
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos
same side · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Western Michigan Broncos $936—Western Michigan Broncos $733