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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindFlaznorpnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)53% (532–472, n=1004)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$20K$533K$635K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #9PM monthly #53PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)47% (112 of 240 open)53% (58 of 110 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won—41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 6% of 540)12% (won 45% of 89)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 38% of 322)25% (won 71% of 190)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 62% of 152)45% (won 80% of 347)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 94% of 319)18% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindFlaznorpnigiri99VirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $62KCowboys $275
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $397Packers $7.1KVikings $8.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $80KTitans $109K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $122KJets $54K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Packers $38KVikings $12K
Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $13KYes $4.4K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KOver $5.0K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $87—Chiefs $7.8K
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $867Over $4.1K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $937—
Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.4KYes $1.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $3.1KPacers $292
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.5KYes $498—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $842Oklahoma $694—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $529—
Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons
—Air Force Falcons $18Pacific Tigers $273—
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K—Bills $7.8K—
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
—France $11KFrance $29—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $153Mavericks $9.2K—
Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.1KYes $4.8K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.3KUnder $9—
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $5.8K76ers $2.2K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.9KUnder $9—
Texans vs. Browns
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $14Browns $1.5K—
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.5KYes $23—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $695Yes $641—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $53Colts $1.3K—
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
—Türkiye $408Türkiye $2—
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $282Yes $22—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8Over $264—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7Under $4—