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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AckbarFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (32–35, n=67)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$34K$4.1M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (117 of 164 open)no open consensus position56% (70 of 126 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=48Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won49% of 51 at avg 50¢, ROI −4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 31% of 16)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 56% of 34)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up0%40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAckbarFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Rams $25K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.6K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141—No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K—FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Under $420
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886—Yes $254
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $847—Under $40
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $389—Over $164
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320—Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78—Over $340
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $139—Bulls $106
Rio Ave FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $38—Under $8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $47K—No $28K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $29K—No $16K
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4K—Broncos $38K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22K—No $3.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11K—Yes $5.1K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0K—Over $5.0K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.6K—Club Atlético de Madrid $137
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $6.5K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.8K—No $833
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $5.8K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $9.1K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8K—No $1.9K
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.2K—No $543
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $7.9K—FC Barcelona $11
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.6K—FC Barcelona $3.2K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.0K—No $657
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $4.4K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1K—Over $2.1K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Under $468
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820—No $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $1.9K—Bulls $99
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $764—76ers $613
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $952—Under $113
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $819—No $93