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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (33–34, n=67)50% (65–65, n=130)67% (4–2, n=6)
Consensus PnL—$35K-$53K-$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus55% (16 of 29 open)68% (169 of 248 open)53% (46 of 87 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $14KNo $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765Under $12KOver $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4Over $445Under $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19Yes $471No $524—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5Under $94Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2Under $177Under $41—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $357Yes $2.7K——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34No $1.7K——
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $225Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9No $1.2K——
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $22—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $836Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $162Cavaliers $726—
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689Rockets $119—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $93Rockets $669—
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Warriors $481Pelicans $128—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $316Under $108—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $81Under $186—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $172——
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $41Raptors $126—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
No $136K——No $2.4M
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.8KClement Tabur $25K—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.4KUnder $14K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9KNo $39—
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.4KRockets $1.5K—
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $260—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $843Under $2.7K—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $605Rockets $2.5K—
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Maximo Zeitune $68Maximo Zeitune $2.8K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $142Rockets $2.4K—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $1.0K—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $158—
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $522—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39Over $956——
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $680Suns $245—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333Lakers $514—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $580No $230—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364Lakers $416—