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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (98–33, n=131)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$23K$7.7M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #923PM monthly #1PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (43 of 59 open)54% (21 of 39 open)56% (92 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 2)36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 58% of 52)35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 91% of 69)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101KColts $94Cowboys $1.8K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $3.4KEagles $2.6K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $208KOver $6.8K—
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $190KEagles $5.6K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $105K—No $2.9K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68KEagles $131—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $20
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37K—Eagles $8.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.6K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $7.4K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $5.6K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $97Over $5.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $143
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $4.3K—76ers $371
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $2.2K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $240—76ers $155
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $315K—No $24K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $45KColts $5.7K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.4K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $2.3K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $6.4K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $195
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $924Over $657
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Commanders $743
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14