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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99wata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)48% (446–481, n=927)54% (345–290, n=635)no settled market
Consensus PnL$521K$403K—
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #105PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensus56% (47 of 84 open)55% (66 of 121 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99wata33-ts
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $39KCanucks $29—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $29KKings $2.4K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $22KTrail Blazers $1.6K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17KUnder $116—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $699Houston $8.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $241Spurs $8.3K—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $39Thunder $6.5K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4Over $3.2K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $469Kings $2.1K—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $847Over $344—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Jazz $372Rockets $24—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $340Thunder $54—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $1—
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $88KRockets $53K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $51KUnder $1.8K—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Rangers $35KRangers $1.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $24KSpurs $2.1K—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
UCLA $21KUCLA $1.5K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Golden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $746Spurs $9.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $844Clippers $8.4K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.9KOver $305—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $823Jazz $1.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2Over $1.2K—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $264Clippers $488—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $3Predators $458—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $57—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $10Jazz $51—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $23Under $13—