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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPan9XS-Works
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)57% (10213–7746, n=17959)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.1M$21K$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #10was PM monthly #979PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)68% (128 of 187 open)62% (105 of 169 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)4% (won 100% of 45)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)13% (won 100% of 163)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)26% (won 100% of 329)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)58% (won 100% of 737)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPan9XS-Works
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $33KCommanders $218Rams $17—
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $33KJets $67Chiefs $40—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Lions $31KDolphins $168Lions $50—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $26KOver $5.2KOver $92—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
Liverpool FC $529Crystal Palace FC $12KLiverpool FC $77—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $9.6KBen Shelton $2.3KCarlos Alcaraz $50—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7KNo $301—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
Giants $26KGiants $735Giants $142—
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus Prestige
Prestige $68Prestige $9Prestige $23—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $29KYes $76—
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K—Raiders $6—
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $18KYes $6—
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $17KOver $28—
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10KOver $52—
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $9.9K—Over $41—
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.4KYes $25—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $3.2K—Chiefs $21—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $78—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $36—
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $16—
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $656No $666—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.1KUnder $46—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $41—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $339—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $797Yes $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $116—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $60—
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $364Over $107—
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $405—Falcons $20—
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $392No $4—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $341Panthers $7—
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $22576ers $21—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $211Over $6—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $163Seahawks $32—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $95Over $94—
Nets vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $98Mavericks $47—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $91Cowboys $13—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $85—
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $75Vikings $16—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $54Under $8—
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
—Patriots $42Packers $18—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20—No $21—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $79KYes $969—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $51KNo $13—
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $47KSunderland AFC $27—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
same side · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $24K—Juan Manuel Cerundolo $70—
Browns vs. Saints
same side · consensus Saints
Browns $22K—Browns $25—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K——
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $559—