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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPT-S7RN1
Record (consensus markets)32% (12–26, n=38)49% (33–34, n=67)33% (3–6, n=9)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL-$22K$35K-$81K-$53K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #761PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)70% (176 of 253 open)67% (2 of 3 open)52% (49 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 228 at avg 77¢, ROI +20%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)1% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)5% (won 100% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)18% (won 100% of 42)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)76% (won 100% of 173)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPT-S7RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K—Over $1.8K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.6KHornets $162—Cavaliers $726
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.4KRockets $123Rockets $1.5K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.1KUnder $3——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $1.1K—Rockets $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $147Yes $2.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Over $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $445—Under $1.4K
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $225—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $836—Yes $60
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689—Rockets $119
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $93—Rockets $669
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Warriors $481—Pelicans $128
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $316—Under $108
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $174—Under $186
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $41—Raptors $126
Will Berkhamsted FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $100—Yes $34
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.7K—Clement Tabur $19K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.3K—Under $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Nicolas Jarry $2.2K—Nicolas Jarry $11K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Tomas Etcheverry $6.4KTomas Etcheverry $41—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.7KOver $86——
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $262
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $894—Under $2.7K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $605—Rockets $2.5K
Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $487
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1K—Over $1.0K
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $559
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Facundo Mena $357—Facundo Mena $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $94—Under $1.1K
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
—No $710—No $263
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $680—Suns $245
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333—Lakers $514
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $579—No $230
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364—Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $278—No $426
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $315